Guidances says with changing rainfall patterns in Ireland there will likely be an increase in both extended dry periods and heavy rainfall events
“Irish rainfall patterns are expected to change, with an increase in both dry periods and heavy rainfall events,” it said, adding that there was “high confidence” that maximum rainfall rates could be expected to increase as the warmer atmosphere would carry more moisture. The guidance said a warmer atmosphere could be expected to carry 7 per cent more moisture for every degree of warming, with heavy rainfall events inevitably increasing in intensity.
On the heatwaves that have hit many different areas worldwide, the Met Éireann advisory said these were becoming more frequent and more intense, driven mainly by “human-caused climate change”. It said some of the most extreme heat events seen in recent years would have been very unlikely in the absence of human influence
On Irish sea surface temperatures , it said changes there had been more unpredictable with periods of warming and cooling, but that marine buoy observation appeared to show climbing rates again. “Irish SSTs are currently well above average and North Atlantic SSTs are currently at record highs for this time of year, June 2023.
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