2023 is highly likely to be the warmest year of modern records, according to analysis by a climate data organisation
2023 IS HIGHLY likely to be the warmest year of modern records, according to analysis by a climate data organisation.
“This forecast probability is higher than last month’s report, when the likelihood of a record warm year was estimated at 81%. It also represents a large change from the forecast at the beginning of the year , when only a 14% chance of a record 2023 was estimated.” Overall, 84% of the Earth’s surface was “significantly warm” compared to the average at a local level compared to the period of 1951 to 1980, and 10.8% experienced its warmest July average locally.
It also may have been influenced to a lesser extent, according to Berkeley Earth, by an underwater volcanic eruption last year that sent a high concentration of water vapour into the atmosphere; new rules on shipping in recent years that reduced sulfur emissions ; and the current stage of the 11-year solar activity cycle, which can cause slightly warmer conditions during phases of increased solar radiation.
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